Nuclear power
cannot solve global warming, the international body set up to
promote atomic energy admits today.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which exists to
spread the peaceful use of the atom, reveals in a new report that
it could not grow fast enough over the next decades to slow
climate change - even under the most favorable circumstances.
The report - published to celebrate yesterday's 50th
anniversary of nuclear power - contradicts a recent surge of
support for the atom as the answer to global warming.
That surge was provoked by an article in The Independent last
month by Professor James Lovelock - the creator of the Gaia theory
- who said that only a massive expansion of nuclear power as the
world's main energy source could prevent climate change
overwhelming the globe.
Professor Lovelock, a long-time nuclear supporter, wrote:
"Civilization is in imminent danger and has to use nuclear -
the one safe, available, energy source - now or suffer the pain
soon to be inflicted by our outraged planet."
His comments were backed by Sir Bernard Ingham, Lady Thatcher's
former PR chief, and other commentators, but have now been
rebutted by the most authoritative organization on the matter.
Unlike fossil fuels, nuclear power emits no carbon dioxide, the
main cause of climate change. However, it has long been in decline
in the face of rising public opposition and increasing reluctance
of governments and utilities to finance its enormous construction
costs.
No new atomic power station has been ordered in the US for a
quarter of a century, and only one is being built in Western
Europe - in Finland. Meanwhile, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands
and Sweden have all pledged to phase out existing plants.
The IAEA report considers two scenarios. In the first, nuclear
energy continues to decline, with no new stations built beyond
those already planned. Its share of world electricity - and thus
its relative contribution to fighting global warming - drops from
its current 16 per cent to 12 per cent by 2030.
Surprisingly, it made an even smaller relative contribution to
combating climate change under the IAEA's most favorable scenario,
seeing nuclear power grow by 70 per cent over the next 25 years.
This is because the world would have to be so prosperous to afford
the expansions that traditional ways of generating electricity
from fossil fuels would have grown even faster. Climate change
would doom the planet before nuclear power could save it.
Alan McDonald, an IAEA nuclear energy analyst, told The
Independent on Sunday last night: "Saying that nuclear power
can solve global warming by itself is way over the top." But
he added that closing existing nuclear power stations would make
tackling climate change harder.